Why Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) is poised to beat earnings estimates again

IIf you’re looking for a stock that has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates and is in a good position to maintain the trend in its upcoming quarterly report, you should consider Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN). This company, part of the Zacks Automotive – Original Equipment industry, is showing potential for another earnings beat.

This company has had a nice run of overshooting earnings estimates, especially looking at the previous two reports. The average surprise for the last two quarters was 37.22%.

Last quarter, Driven Brands Holdings Inc. was expected to report earnings of $0.22 per share, but instead reported $0.26 per share, a surprise 18.18%. For the previous quarter, the consensus estimate was $0.16 per share, when it actually produced $0.25 per share, a surprise of 56.25%.

Price and Surprise EPS

For Driven Brands Holdings Inc., estimates are trending higher, thanks in part to this surprise earnings story. And when you look at the stock’s positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction), it’s a great indicator of a future earnings pace, especially when combined with its solid Zacks Rank.

Our research shows that stocks with the combination of a positive earnings ESP and a Zacks rank of #3 (Hold) or better produce a positive surprise almost 70% of the time. In other words, if you have 10 stocks with this combination, the number of stocks that exceeded the consensus estimate could be as high as seven.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the Zacks consensus estimate for the quarter; the most accurate estimate is a version of the Zacks Consensus whose definition is tied to change. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates just before the earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than they and other consensus contributors predicted earlier.

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. currently has an earnings ESP of +27.66%, suggesting that analysts have recently become optimistic about the company’s earnings outlook. This positive ESP on earnings, when combined with the Zacks No. 1 ranking (strong buy) of the stock, indicates that another beat may be imminent. We expect the company’s next earnings report to be released on February 16, 2022.

Investors should note, however, that a negative earnings ESP reading is not indicative of a shortfall, but a negative value reduces the predictive power of this measure.

Many companies end up beating the consensus EPS estimate, though that’s not the only reason their stocks gain. Additionally, some stocks may remain flat even if they end up missing the consensus estimate.

For this reason, it is really important to check a company’s earnings ESP before its quarterly release to increase the chances of success. Be sure to use our earnings ESP filter to discover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are released.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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